🗓 Submission Timing Intelligence
When is the best month — and weekday — to submit your planning application? Real approval-rate + decision-speed data from 25,848 dated decisions across UK LPAs.
📊 National (all LPAs)
Months below refer to when you submit, not when the decision lands. Each application is bucketed by its received_date month — but the approval rate measures the final outcome, whenever it landed (60-90 days later typically). The lag is already baked into the signal: "submit in December = 100% approval" already accounts for the fact that those decisions arrive in Feb/March. The month-by-month table below shows the lag explicitly so you can see the full cycle.
🎯 Inverse view — "I want a decision in [month], when do I submit?"
Based on this LPA's typical decision-lag of 58 days (~2 months), the table below shows when to submit if you want your decision to land in a specific month.
| If you want a decision in... | Submit by (approx.) | That submit month's approval rate |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | Submit by end of Nov | 68.2% |
| Feb | Submit by end of Dec | 61.7% |
| Mar | Submit by end of Jan | 70% |
| Apr | Submit by end of Feb | 69.8% |
| May | Submit by end of Mar | 42.9% |
| Jun | Submit by end of Apr | 71.4% |
| Jul | Submit by end of May | 81.5% |
| Aug | Submit by end of Jun | 76.7% |
| Sep | Submit by end of Jul | 45.5% |
| Oct | Submit by end of Aug | 100% |
| Nov | Submit by end of Sep | 80% |
| Dec | Submit by end of Oct | 100% |
Inverse calculation is approximate — actual decision time varies (range typically ±30 days). Use the Decision Time Predictor for tighter forecasts.
⏱ Decision speed by application type
How long different application types actually take at National (all LPAs). Householder apps are statutorily 8 weeks; full/major are 13 weeks — but the real numbers usually drift. This is what the data says, not what the statute says.
→ Fastest: Outline (39 days). Slowest: Listed Building (102 days).
| Application type | Decisions | Approval rate | Avg days | Range | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Householder | 4,349 | 86.8% | 67 d (10 wk) | 1–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Full / Major | 3,984 | 74.5% | 84 d (12 wk) | 1–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Lawful Development | 2,341 | 84.4% | 47 d (7 wk) | 0–337 d | Filter ▸ |
| Conservation Area | 1,255 | 87.3% | 50 d (7 wk) | 0–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Listed Building | 1,013 | 90.2% | 102 d (15 wk) | 7–356 d | Filter ▸ |
| Advertisement | 943 | 69.8% | 73 d (10 wk) | 5–349 d | Filter ▸ |
| Prior Approval | 786 | 67.4% | 42 d (6 wk) | 0–345 d | ✕ clear |
| Outline | 141 | 91.5% | 39 d (6 wk) | 0–361 d | Filter ▸ |
| Discharge Conditions | 126 | 91.3% | 47 d (7 wk) | 3–337 d | Filter ▸ |
| Change of Use | 78 | 66.7% | 84 d (12 wk) | 23–319 d | Filter ▸ |
| Reserved Matters (low sample) | 6 | 83.3% | 151 d (22 wk) | 15–361 d | Filter ▸ |
ⓘ Month-by-month stats above are filtered to Prior Approval only. The table above always shows all types so you can compare.
📅 Month-by-month breakdown — full submit→decide cycle
Each row shows the complete journey for applications received in that month: how long they took, when the decision actually landed, and what % were approved. The approval rate already accounts for everything that happens between submission and decision — the lag is part of the signal.
| Submit month | Decisions | Approval rate | Median lag | Decision typically lands in | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 190 |
70%
|
37d (~5wk) | → February | 3–69d |
| February | 182 |
69.8%
|
35d (~5wk) | → March | 4–56d |
| March | 21 |
42.9%
|
74d (~11wk) | → May | 2–345d |
| April | 7 |
71.4%
|
38d (~5wk) | → May | 33–42d |
| May | 27 |
81.5%
|
42d (~6wk) | → June | 5–73d |
| June | 30 |
76.7%
|
54d (~8wk) | → August | 2–247d |
| July | 11 |
45.5%
|
5d (~1wk) | → July | — |
| September | 5 |
80%
|
143d (~20wk) | → February | 107–196d |
| October | 10 |
100%
|
117d (~17wk) | → February | 60–160d |
| November | 66 |
68.2%
|
48d (~7wk) | → January | 32–111d |
| December | 235 |
61.7%
|
42d (~6wk) | → January | 12–110d |
Read across each row: submit in [month] → wait [median lag] → decision lands in [target month] → outcome [approval rate]. The approval rate is the final outcome of the whole cycle, not a snapshot.
🗓 Day-of-week patterns
| Day received | Decisions | Approval rate | Avg days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | 5 | 60% | 37 |
| Monday | 191 | 66.5% | 43 |
| Tuesday | 159 | 69.2% | 47 |
| Wednesday | 153 | 66.7% | 40 |
| Thursday | 141 | 67.4% | 42 |
| Friday | 134 | 68.7% | 45 |
| Saturday | 5 | 60% | 39 |
🌍 National picture — all 25,848 dated decisions
The broader pattern: March has the highest approval rate in our corpus; July the lowest. Pick an LPA above to see council-specific timing.
| Received in | Decisions | Approval rate | Avg days |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4,142 |
83.5%
|
46 |
| February | 2,191 |
87.1%
|
41 |
| March | 584 |
89.6%
|
53 |
| April | 301 |
86.4%
|
122 |
| May | 726 |
86.6%
|
82 |
| June | 821 |
90.5%
|
82 |
| July | 380 |
86.6%
|
135 |
| August | 295 |
87.1%
|
180 |
| September | 560 |
90%
|
146 |
| October | 1,342 |
86.4%
|
111 |
| November | 3,590 |
84.1%
|
70 |
| December | 4,530 |
81.5%
|
56 |
📊 Data sources & freshness
Timing is a tactical edge, not strategic justification. Use alongside the constraint check + pattern fingerprint to make the case strong on substance, then time it to land well.
- planning_applications.received_date (updated Daily ingest)
25,848 dated decisions where both received_date and decision_type are known. Approval = approved/granted/permit. Sample size gating: months with fewer than 8 decisions excluded from best/worst recommendation. - Day-of-week patterns
Reflects when applicants choose to submit, which may correlate with applicant type (Monday = professional consultants; Friday = end-of-week DIY submissions). Causality is correlative not causal. - Decision-time outliers
Months showing 200+ day averages are flagged — they reflect older PINS-appeal-derived rows where determinations stretched over many months. Read the Jan/Feb/Nov/Dec numbers (largest samples) as the reliable benchmark.