🗓 Submission Timing Intelligence
When is the best month — and weekday — to submit your planning application? Real approval-rate + decision-speed data from 144,135 dated decisions across UK LPAs.
📊 National (all LPAs)
Months below refer to when you submit, not when the decision lands. Each application is bucketed by its received_date month — but the approval rate measures the final outcome, whenever it landed (60-90 days later typically). The lag is already baked into the signal: "submit in December = 100% approval" already accounts for the fact that those decisions arrive in Feb/March. The month-by-month table below shows the lag explicitly so you can see the full cycle.
Use the type chips above to filter to the application type you are actually making — and treat cross-council comparisons of the mixed number with care, since the mix depends on which source fed each council.
🎯 Inverse view — "I want a decision in [month], when do I submit?"
Based on this LPA's typical decision-lag of 57 days (~2 months), the table below shows when to submit if you want your decision to land in a specific month.
| If you want a decision in... | Submit by (approx.) | That submit month's approval rate |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | Submit by end of Nov | 80.8% |
| Feb | Submit by end of Dec | 82.1% |
| Mar | Submit by end of Jan | 87.4% |
| Apr | Submit by end of Feb | 86.5% |
| May | Submit by end of Mar | 90% |
| Jun | Submit by end of Apr | 71.9% |
| Jul | Submit by end of May | 78% |
| Aug | Submit by end of Jun | 58.3% |
| Sep | Submit by end of Jul | 67.5% |
| Oct | Submit by end of Aug | 65% |
| Nov | Submit by end of Sep | 72.9% |
| Dec | Submit by end of Oct | 79.5% |
Inverse calculation is approximate — actual decision time varies (range typically ±30 days). Use the Decision Time Predictor for tighter forecasts.
⏱ Decision speed by application type
How long different application types actually take at National (all LPAs). Householder apps are statutorily 8 weeks; full/major are 13 weeks — but the real numbers usually drift. This is what the data says, not what the statute says.
→ Fastest: Tree Works / TPO (40 days). Slowest: Outline (119 days).
| Application type | Decisions | Approval rate | Avg days | Range | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full / Major | 52,044 | 84.4% | 81 d (12 wk) | 0–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Tree Works / TPO | 20,474 | 91% | 40 d (6 wk) | 0–359 d | Filter ▸ |
| Discharge Conditions | 11,680 | 91.1% | 67 d (10 wk) | 0–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Amendment / NMA | 7,470 | 85.4% | 51 d (7 wk) | 0–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Householder | 5,334 | 84.7% | 68 d (10 wk) | 1–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Heritage / LB | 4,621 | 92.5% | 83 d (12 wk) | 0–364 d | Filter ▸ |
| Advertisement | 3,737 | 81.2% | 71 d (10 wk) | 0–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Lawful Development | 2,887 | 80.8% | 49 d (7 wk) | 0–337 d | ✕ clear |
| Conservation Area | 1,505 | 89.4% | 47 d (7 wk) | 0–365 d | Filter ▸ |
| Listed Building | 1,270 | 87.7% | 98 d (14 wk) | 4–356 d | Filter ▸ |
| Prior Approval | 1,111 | 67.5% | 41 d (6 wk) | 0–345 d | Filter ▸ |
| Change of Use | 103 | 60.2% | 85 d (12 wk) | 14–337 d | Filter ▸ |
| Outline | 29 | 10.3% | 119 d (17 wk) | 37–361 d | Filter ▸ |
| Reserved Matters | 17 | 82.4% | 103 d (15 wk) | 15–361 d | Filter ▸ |
ⓘ Month-by-month stats above are filtered to Lawful Development only. The table above always shows all types so you can compare.
📅 Month-by-month breakdown — full submit→decide cycle
Each row shows the complete journey for applications received in that month: how long they took, when the decision actually landed, and what % were approved. The approval rate already accounts for everything that happens between submission and decision — the lag is part of the signal.
| Submit month | Decisions | Approval rate | Median lag | Decision typically lands in | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 696 |
87.4%
|
39d (~6wk) | → February | — |
| February | 392 |
86.5%
|
35d (~5wk) | → March | — |
| March | 100 |
90%
|
23d (~3wk) | → April | — |
| April | 32 |
71.9%
|
92d (~13wk) | → July | 1–330d |
| May | 82 |
78%
|
73d (~10wk) | → July | 3–308d |
| June | 151 |
58.3%
|
68d (~10wk) | → August | 4–313d |
| July | 163 |
67.5%
|
55d (~8wk) | → September | 4–230d |
| August | 117 |
65%
|
43d (~6wk) | → September | 3–188d |
| September | 70 |
72.9%
|
48d (~7wk) | → November | 4–172d |
| October | 78 |
79.5%
|
85d (~12wk) | → January | 2–230d |
| November | 370 |
80.8%
|
61d (~9wk) | → January | 5–315d |
| December | 636 |
82.1%
|
50d (~7wk) | → February | 3–296d |
Read across each row: submit in [month] → wait [median lag] → decision lands in [target month] → outcome [approval rate]. The approval rate is the final outcome of the whole cycle, not a snapshot.
🗓 Day-of-week patterns
| Day received | Decisions | Approval rate | Avg days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | 5 | 80% | 55 |
| Monday | 735 | 80.4% | 52 |
| Tuesday | 617 | 80.7% | 45 |
| Wednesday | 504 | 78.8% | 52 |
| Thursday | 487 | 79.5% | 52 |
| Friday | 515 | 84.1% | 51 |
| Saturday | 41 | 82.9% | 32 |
🌍 National picture — all 144,135 dated decisions
The broader pattern: March has the highest approval rate in our corpus; July the lowest. Pick an LPA above to see council-specific timing.
| Received in | Decisions | Approval rate | Avg days |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 14,100 |
85.5%
|
62 |
| February | 13,074 |
86.3%
|
64 |
| March | 13,489 |
86.7%
|
69 |
| April | 11,043 |
86%
|
70 |
| May | 12,414 |
86%
|
67 |
| June | 16,676 |
86.3%
|
60 |
| July | 13,964 |
86.6%
|
58 |
| August | 8,794 |
88%
|
58 |
| September | 6,491 |
88.9%
|
64 |
| October | 8,300 |
88.4%
|
74 |
| November | 9,819 |
86.9%
|
70 |
| December | 8,938 |
85%
|
67 |
📊 Data sources & freshness
Timing is a tactical edge, not strategic justification. Use alongside the constraint check + pattern fingerprint to make the case strong on substance, then time it to land well.
- planning_applications.received_date (updated Daily ingest)
144,135 dated decisions where a submission date and a decision are both known. The submission date is received_date, falling back to validated_date — many council portals publish only the validated date, and the statutory clock runs from it. Approval = approved/granted/permit. Sample size gating: months with fewer than 8 decisions excluded from best/worst recommendation. - Day-of-week patterns
Reflects when applicants choose to submit, which may correlate with applicant type (Monday = professional consultants; Friday = end-of-week DIY submissions). Causality is correlative not causal. - Decision-time outliers
Months showing 200+ day averages are flagged — they reflect older PINS-appeal-derived rows where determinations stretched over many months. Read the Jan/Feb/Nov/Dec numbers (largest samples) as the reliable benchmark.